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Mentions

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Mentions Prediction Markets

0 open markets · settled in USDC on Polygon · no KYC

Mentions markets are uniquely fun: they ask whether specific public figures will say or post specific things by a target date. Will Trump post the word "rigged" more than 10 times in the next 30 days? Will Elon Musk tweet about Dogecoin again before the end of the month? Will Khamenei issue a statement on the nuclear deal?

Kayxa hosts mentions markets on Trump (Truth Social posts, public statements), Elon Musk (X/Twitter posts), and major world leaders (Khamenei, Putin, Xi, Zelensky). Resolution uses public records of the platform in question — Truth Social, X, official press transcripts, or wire service reporting.

These markets reward people who pay close attention to public figures' communication patterns — what they post, how often, and on what topics. They are also a useful way to express views on news cycles and political discourse with capped downside.

Popular mentions markets

  • Trump Truth Social
  • Elon Musk Tweets
  • World Leader Statements
  • Political Quotes

Frequently asked questions

How are mentions markets resolved?
Markets specify the platform (Truth Social, X, official press), the word or phrase, the count threshold, and the time window. Resolution uses public records — the platform itself or third-party archives (e.g., Trump Truth Social Archive).
What if a post is deleted before resolution?
Markets follow the policy specified — typically, deleted posts still count if they were captured by public archives before deletion. Markets explicitly say so in the resolution criteria.
Are mentions markets just for fun?
They are entertaining, but they also serve a real function — they aggregate views on communication patterns of public figures, which can be a useful input for journalists, political analysts, and traders watching narrative shifts.