Weather Prediction Markets

Weather prediction markets cover specific atmospheric events — hurricane landfalls, daily high or low temperature records, named storms, snow totals, and seasonal climate anomalies. Each market resolves on a specific NOAA, National Weather Service, or other meteorological agency reading.

Kayxa hosts weather markets on Atlantic hurricane season counts, specific named storm landfall locations, monthly temperature anomalies in major cities (Istanbul, New York, London, Tokyo), and snowfall totals for major metro areas. Resolution sources include NOAA NHC, ECMWF, and city-specific NWS stations.

Weather markets serve hedging and forecasting functions: agricultural buyers, insurance underwriters, and energy traders all care about weather outcomes. Prediction markets let participants express views on weather risk with capped downside and clear resolution.